Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 6.961573 7.699675 8.521751 9.512961 10.686200 12.044101 13.754768
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 5.733695 6.680564 7.824070 9.335473 11.326691 13.931947 17.730345
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.055154 6.088198 7.403280 9.254108 11.888893 15.678783 21.925996
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.529569 5.583543 6.976721 9.030587 12.134097 16.954607 25.795702
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.183187 5.259409 6.728809 8.985752 12.587309 18.607790 30.920428
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.903623 4.989636 6.513559 8.938866 13.002183 20.275161 36.848783
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.745329 4.869137 6.491525 9.172673 13.910182 23.077927 46.931918
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.477972 4.566852 6.165523 8.868314 13.804223 23.847589 52.474977
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.241377 4.291336 5.854575 8.548542 13.609229 24.371465 57.753311
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.060603 4.085834 5.634107 8.355325 13.620415 25.361302 65.437677
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.932284 3.950297 5.511908 8.317442 13.930705 27.162067 78.048357
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.934736 4.013561 5.712218 8.879826 15.599230 33.126279 118.999855
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.849108 3.942942 5.701352 9.081070 16.610269 38.091455 172.895947
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.703134 3.768935 5.504952 8.907130 16.734643 40.486931 221.430460
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.587218 3.635560 5.366894 8.830805 17.083955 43.929277 306.152585
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.461832 3.478936 5.175637 8.622232 17.051693 45.987054 398.531053
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.372026 3.375539 5.070626 8.580378 17.456375 50.180408 613.240407
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.289368 3.279129 4.970602 8.536603 17.849778 54.734342 1032.278926
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.248139 3.249683 4.989850 8.754819 19.064091 64.687064 3308.755737
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.145441 3.110150 4.795076 8.470720 18.690960 65.651541 5610.936039
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.047715 2.975083 4.601349 8.171885 18.220103 65.799801 9669.296015
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.970885 2.872859 4.464073 7.991144 18.097731 68.210284 37453.264361
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.916387 2.806956 4.391999 7.955691 18.449100 74.362224 NaN